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                            冬储尾声 沥青调整压力增大——恒泰期货能化日报191226

                            作者:恒泰期货研究所 来源:恒泰期货研究所 时间:2019年12月26日

                            作者:郭建承

                            ZHIYEBIANHAO:F3051800

                            DIANHUA:

                            邮箱:.cn

                            摘要:

                            BENZHOULIANCHANGKAIGONGLVHUANBIYOUSUOHUISHENG,LIANCHANGKUCUNXIAOFUXIAJIANG,DANSHEHUIKUCUNYOUSUOZENGJIA。SUIZHEHOUQIDONGCHUXUQIUDEJIESHU,KUCUNHUOJIANGJINRULEIKU。BENZHOUJIXIAZHOURENGYOUBUFENDONGCHUXUQIUSHIFANG,NANFANGXUQIUSHANGKE,ZONGTIXUQIURENGZAIJIEDUANXINGGAISHANJIEDUAN,DANSUIZHECHUNJIEDELINJIN,XUQIUJIANGZHONGHUIJIJIEXINGDANJI,HOUQIJIAGEWEICHIGAOWEIHUOJIXUSHANGXING,YOUDAIGONGYINGDUANDEJIANLIANGHECHENGBENDUANDEZHICHENG。ZAIYUANYOULIKONGPINXIANMIANLINDIAOZHENG,GONGYINGJIANLIANGYOUXIANDEBEIJINGXIA,YUJIHOUSHIJIAGEMIANLINDIAOZHENGDEYALIJIANGZENGDA。

                            操作策略: 前多谨慎持有 目标3155-3200附近

                            一、沥青期现价格:期货小幅反弹 现货小幅下跌

                            在线棋牌唯一官方网站BENZHOULIQINGQIHUOJIAGECHUJIZHOUXIANYALIWEILIANXUHUILUO,RENGZAIZHOUXIANXIAXINGTONGDAOZHONG。JIEZHIDAOSHOUPAN,LIQINGQIHUOZHULIHEYUEZHOUXIADIE70YUAN/DUN,DIEFU2.36%。2006HEYUECHICANG36.94WANSHOU,CHENGJIAOLIANG195.43WANSHOU。

                            本周全国沥青均价为3206元/吨,环比上涨11元/吨。中石化价格持稳。整体市场价格保持平稳趋势。

                            TU1:LIQINGHUADONGJICHA

                            SHUJULAIYUAN:Wind HENGTAIQIHUOYANJIUSUO

                            二、上游:前期利多消化 油市利空频现

                            ZHONGMEIMAOYITANPANDIYIJIEDUANXIEYIJIJIANGLUODI,ZHENGTIHONGGUANPIANNUAN,SHICHANGLEGUANYUQIQIANGHUA。DIEJIAQIANQIOUPEIKEJIQIJIANCHANLIANMENGSHENHUAJIANCHAN,YUANYOUJIAGELIANXUSHANGZHANG,BIAOXIANQIANGSHI。DANJINQIYUANYOUSHICHANGLIKONGPINXIAN,SHATEHEKEWEITEKAIQIZHONGLIYOUTIAN,BAXIYIJIXINZENGCHANYOUGUOGUIYANEIDENGFEIOUPEIKEGUOJIADEZENGCHANYEJIANGDUIMINGNIANDEOPEC+JIANCHANXIAOGUOQIDAOYIZHIZUOYONG。HOUSHIYOUJIASHANGXINGYALIJIAODA。

                            。

                            TU2:GUOJIYUANYOUJIAGEYULIQINGJIAGEZOUSHI

                            SHUJULAIYUAN:Wind HENGTAIQIHUOYANJIUSUO

                            三、沥青市场分析及数据跟踪

                            本周国内沥青装置开工率为54.96%,较上周开工率上涨3.21个百分点。菏泽东明周初复产沥青,江阴阿尔法提高生产负荷带动开工小幅上涨,中期齐鲁石化虽转产,但由于上海石化排产沥青,金陵石化提高生产负荷,导致开工率仍然保持上涨的趋势并在本周后期趋于稳定。未来一周,齐鲁石化有计划复产沥青,菏泽东明计划停工,其他炼厂暂未有明确的开停工计划,预计下周沥青装置开工率将大概率出现小幅下跌走势。

                            KUCUNFANGMIAN,BENZHOULIANCHANGKUCUNXIAOFUQUKU,SHEHUIKUCUNZENGJIA。JIEZHIDAO12YUE26RI,LIANCHANGKUCUNWEI45.9WANDUN,HUANBIXIAJIANG1.75WANDUN,SHEHUIKUCUN26.68WANDUN,HUANBISHANGZHOUZENGJIA1.43WANDUN。FENDIQULAIKAN,HUANANDIQULIANCHANGXUQIUSHANGKE,QUNEIHUOYUANPIANJIN,KUCUNXIAHUAYUE7%。HUADONG、SHANDONG、DONGBEIDIQULIANCHANGKUCUNJUNYOUSUOSHANGSHENG,QIZHONGSHANDONGDIQUKUCUNZENGJIABIJIAOMINGXIAN,SHANGSHENGLE5%。

                            在线棋牌唯一官方网站LIRUNFANGMIAN,BENZHOUSHANDONGDULILIANCHANGLIQINGZONGHELIRUNRENGCHUKUISUNQUJIAN。GENJUZHUOCHUANGZHUOCHUANGZIXUNSHUJUCESUAN,JIEZHIDAO12YUE25RIDANGZHOU,SHANDONGDIQUDULILIANCHANGLIQINGSHENGCHANZONGHELIRUNJUNZHIWEI-186.42YUAN/DUN,HUANBIXIAHUA49.24YUAN/DUN。SHANGZHOUMARUIYUANYOUPINGJUNCHENGBENWEI3668YUAN/DUN,HUANBISHANGZHANG65YUAN/DUN,ZHANGFU1.82%。

                            XUQIULAIKAN,GEDIXUQIUBIAOXIANBUYI,HUADONG、HUANANXUQIUWANGSHENG,DONGBEIDIQUDONGCHUJIEJINWEISHENG,CHUANRANJIJIAOHUALIAOWAICAIXUQIUWENDING。SHANDONGDIQU,BENZHOUYOULIANCHANGGONGBUDONGCHUJIAGE,DONGCHUXUQIUYOUDAIGUANCHA。HUADONGDIQUSHOUJIANGYUYINGXIANG,XUQIUYIBAN。

                            在线棋牌唯一官方网站TU3:GUONEILIQINGLIANCHANGKAIGONGLV

                                               

                            在线棋牌唯一官方网站SHUJULAIYUAN:ZHUOCHUANGZIXUN  HENGTAIQIHUOYANJIUSUO

                            TU4:GUONEILIQINGKUCUN

                            在线棋牌唯一官方网站SHUJULAIYUAN:ZHUOCHUANGZIXUN  HENGTAIQIHUOYANJIUSUO

                            免责声明:

                            本报告由恒泰期货研究所制作,在未获得恒泰期货股份有限公司书面授权的情况下,任何人和单位不得对本报告进行任何形式的修改、发布和复制。本报告基于本公司期货研究人员采用可信的公开资料和实地调研资料,但本公司对所用信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证,且本报告中的资料、建议、预测均反映报告初次发布时的判断,可能会随时调整,报告中的信息或所表达的意见不构成投资、法律、会计或税务的最终操作建议,本公司不就报告中的内容对最终操作建议作任何担保。在恒泰期货股份有限公司及其研究人员知情的范围内,恒泰期货股份有限公司及其期货研究人员以及财产上的利害关系人与所评价或推荐的产品不存在任何利害关系,同时提醒期货投资者,期市有风险,入市须谨慎。


                                SHENGMING:BENWANGZHANSUOZAIWENZHANG、SHUJUDENGNEIRONGCHUNSHUZUOZHEGERENGUANDIAN,JINGONGTOUZIZHECANKAO,BINGBUGOUCHENGTOUZIJIANYI。TOUZIZHEJUCICAOZUO,FENGXIANZIDAN。

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