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                  山东垦利调研纪要

                  作者:作者:沈大尉 恒泰期货研究所 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0012216 QQ:969514768 电话: 来源:恒泰期货研究所 时间:2019年03月08日

                  Ø 7日一早,我们对东营垦利蛋鸡养殖户进行了调研。大致可以归纳为:

                  在线棋牌唯一官方网站GAIYANGZHICHANGXISHANDONGKENLIQUHONGFENGDANJIYANGZHICHANG。ZHUCEDI:KENLIQUYONGANZHENERSHISANCUNYANGZHIQU。GONGSHANGZHUCEHAO:370521600193472。TONGYIXINYONGDAIMA:92370521MA3CU60X31。FAREN:YANGJILONG。ZHENGGEYANGJICHANGHAIXUYAOGUYONG4-5GEFUZHURENYUAN。

                  GENJUYANGZHICHANGFUZERENJUTIJIESHAO:GAIYANGZHICHANGZHUYAOYOUDANGDI5WEIDANJIYANGZHIDAHUGONGTONGCHUZISHELI。GAIYANGZHICHANGJINJINIANQUDEKUAISUFAZHAN:2016NIAN、2017NIANHE2018NIAN,DANJIYANGZHICUNLANLIANGFENBIEWEI15WANZHI、20WANZHIHE30WANZHI。JINRU2019NIAN,DANJICUNLANMUQIANWEICHI30WANZHI,HOUQISHIFOUKUOCHANHAIXUKANJIDANJIAGEXINGQING。DANGQIAN30WANZHIDANJICUNLANZHONG,YOU22WANZHIDANJICHUYUQINGZHUANGNIANJIEDUAN。CONGJILINGJIEGOUFENXI,DANGQIANGAIYANGZHICHANGDANJICHUYUCHANDANGAOFENGQI,ZHENGTIJIDANGONGYINGDUANYOUBAOZHENG。

                  GAIYANGZHICHANGJIESHAO:2017NIANYINJINXINDEDANJIYANGZHISHENGCHANLIUSHUIXIAN,JIBENSHIXIANJIXIEHUA、GUIMOHUAYANGZHI。WEILIAO、JIANDANJIXIEHUALVTIGAO,JIANGDILERENGONGCHENGBEN。

                  CONGDANJIYANGZHICHANYELIANFENXI:ZUISHANGYOUDESHIDANJIJIMIAO,XUYAOTIQIANYUDING,GEJIAGONGYINGTIQIANQILVEYOUCHAYI,PUBIANXUYAO15-20TIAN。GONGYINGSHANGBAOKUOHUAYU,DANJIJIMIAOJIAGEBODONGFUDUJIAOROUJIJIMIAOXIAOLEHENDUO。DANGQIANZAI1.5YUAN/YU。GAIYANGZHICHANGYINIANTAOTAIJIN10WANZHIJI,FEN2-3PICIJINXINGTAOTAI。DANGQIANTAOTAIJIJIAGEWEI4.3-4.5YUAN/JIN,JIAOSHICHANGSHANGDETAOTAIJIJIAGELVEGAOCHU0.2YUAN/JIN。

                  DANGDIDANJIYANGZHIXINGYEFANGKONGYIQINGDEYISHIJIAOQIANG,JINSANNIANLAI,DONGYINGDIQUWEIYOUYIQINGBAOFA。DANGQIANDANJIFANGYICHENGBENJIN3YUAN/YU。

                  DANJICHANDANDEGUILVSHI:CHUNQIUJISHICHANDANGAOFENGQI,XIAJIDANGQIWENGAOYU34DU,JIDANCHANLIANGXIAJIANG,XIAHUAFUDUJIN10-15%。YOUCI:YI1WANTAODANJICUNLANCESUAN,1TIANCHANDANJIN1000JIN,1GEYUEWEI15DUN。ANGAIYANGZHICHANG30WANZHIJIDECUNLANSHUJUTUISUAN:QUANNIANJIDANCHANLIANGZAI5000-6000DUNZUOYOU。

                  在线棋牌唯一官方网站YUANLIAODUAN:DANJIYANGZHICHENGBENDUANZHUYAOSHIYUMIHEDOUPO。GONGSICAIYONGXIANHUOSUISHICAIGOUDECELVE,DANGQIANGUIMOZHENGTIBUDA,SHANGWEIJIERUQIHUOSHICHANGJINXINGTAOBAO。YIBANXUYAOTIQIAN1-2TIAN,TIQIANDINGGOU。YUMIYONGLIANGWEI100DUN/YUE,JUCITUICE,DOUPOYONGLIANGWEI40-50DUN/YUE。

                  在线棋牌唯一官方网站JIDANXIAOSHOUQINGKUANGJIESHAO:ZHUYAOYITUOMAOYISHANGZOUDAN,YANGZHICHANGWEIJIESHOUSHIPINJIAGONGQIYEDINGDAN。FUZERENFANYING,SHIPINJIAGONGQIYEBAOJIAWANGWANGJIAOMAOYISHANGBAOJIADI0.2YUAN/JIN,QIYEDUIJIDANPINZHIYAOQIUBINGBUGAO。

                  在线棋牌唯一官方网站ZUIHOU,TANLEDANGQIANDANJIDEYANGZHILIRUN:6RI,DANGDIJIDANMAOYISHANGPUBIANBAOJIA2.8-2.9YUAN/JINFUJIN,GAIYANGZHICHANGFUZERENBIAOSHI,DANGQIANXIAOFUKUISUN,CHENGBENXIANKONGZHIZAI2.9-3YUAN/JIN。YOUCI,WOMENKEYIDECHU:DANGQIANDANJIYANGZHICHUYUWEIKUIJIEDUAN,YANGZHIYIYUANHAIKEYI,YINGGAISHUOJIDANGONGYINGHAISHIYOUBAOZHANG,GUANJIANKANHOUQIDEXUQIU。

                  在线棋牌唯一官方网站YANGZHICHANGDEFUZERENBIAOSHIMEITIANYEKANJIDANXINGQING,YEXIWANGLEJIEHOUQIJIDANJIAGEDEYUNXINGQINGKUANGFENXI。BIJINGMEITIANDEXIANHUOXIAOSHOUJIAGEHEQIHUOPANMIANJIAGEYOUJIAODAGUANLIANDU。

                  调研总结:1)该养殖场当前蛋鸡存栏数不低,同时青壮年蛋鸡占比高,因此鸡蛋供应完全有保障,关键看后市需求端是否跟上。2)养殖利润这块,养殖场负责人尽心尽力,成本端控制良好,区位优势和人工成本有所体现,行情好,有明显扩产意愿。3)负责人对鸡蛋价格明感,部分负责人已经参与鸡蛋期货交易,有一定防范价格大幅波动的意识。我们认为:通过对后市鸡蛋期货价格运行的分析和判断,引导该养殖场参与鸡蛋保险加期货项目,让养殖户尝到期货在防范价格波动方面的优势。



                      SHENGMING:BENWANGZHANSUOZAIWENZHANG、SHUJUDENGNEIRONGCHUNSHUZUOZHEGERENGUANDIAN,JINGONGTOUZIZHECANKAO,BINGBUGOUCHENGTOUZIJIANYI。TOUZIZHEJUCICAOZUO,FENGXIANZIDAN。

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