在线棋牌唯一官方网站

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                      1. 委托电话:

                        全国统一客服热线:400 885 8895 本网站支持IPV6

                        今年还有吃饭喝汤行情吗?

                        作者:魏刚 沈思芸 来源:恒泰期货 时间:2018年08月29日

                        今年还有吃饭喝汤行情吗?

                        ZUOZHE:WEIGANG SHENSIYUN  ZHIYEBIANHAO:F3030858 F3044684  DIANHUA:

                        YOUXIANG: .cn  .cn


                        JINNIANYILAI,ZAI“NEIYOUWAIHUAN”YINGXIANGXIA,AGUSHICHANGCHIXUDIMI、XIONGXIANGJINXIAN。CONGNIANCHUZHI8YUE27RISHOUPAN,HUSHEN300ZHISHUXIADIE15.49%,CHUANGYEBANZHISHUXIADIE14.79%。SHICHANGCANYUZHEPUBIANGUANZHU:XIONGSHIHESHIJIESHU?JINNIANHAIYOUCHIFANHETANGXINGQINGMA?

                        一、总体研判

                        CONGSHICHANGYUNXINGDAJIEGOUKAN,MUQIANZHENGZAIYUNXINGZHANGXIONGSHI。ANZHAOZHANGXIONGSHI4NIANZUOYOUDEZHOUQIGUILV,ZI2015NIAN6YUEKAIQIDEXIONGSHIDIAOZHENGYIJINGJINRUMOQI。JINNIANSIJIDUZHIMINGNIANNIANZHONG,SHICHANGHENKENENGCHUYUTANMINGXIONGSHIZUIZHONGDIBU,BINGQIEZHENDANGZHUDIDEGUOCHENG。

                        RUGUOWEILAIYIDUANSHIJIANRENGCHUYUXIONGSHIJIEDUAN,NEIME,JINNIANHAIYOUCHIFANXINGQINGMA?JINNIANYILAI,SHANGZHENGZHISHUYOUNIANCHUZUIGAODIAN3587YILAIDEZUIDADIEFUYIDA934DIAN(HUO26%),SHICHANGJIXUXIUFU。WOMENRENWEI,JINGLIJINNIANYILAIDEDAFUXIADIEHOU,KONGTOULILIANGYIJINGDEDAOCHONGFENXUANXIE,SHICHANGZHENGYUNYUYILUNJINNIANZUIYOUCANYUJIAZHIDEFANDANXINGQING。RUOHOUQINENGXIANXIAZAISHANG,JIPOZHONGYAOZHICHENGWEISHANGZHENG2638,YINFAKONGHUANGPAN,BINGDACHUFANDANKONGJIAN,ZEYOUWANGXINGCHENGCHIFANXINGQING;RUOZAIDANGQIANWEIZHIJIKAISHIFANDAN,ZEFANDANLIDUSHOUXIAN,KONGJIUSHIHETANGXINGQING。CONGMUQIANDEXINGQINGZOUSHILAIKAN,WEILAIZOU“HETANGXINGQING”DEGAILVJIAODA。

                        二、基本面分析

                        在线棋牌唯一官方网站ZAISHICHANGQINGXUJINHUJUEWANGZHIHOU,JINQIJIBENMIANYINSUCHUXIANGAISHAN,BAOKUOZHENGCE、ZIJIN、GUZHIYIJICHIXUQIANDONGSHICHANGMINGANQINGXUDEMAOYIZHANDENGJUNBUTONGCHENGDUSHANGCHUXIANLEBIANJIXIANGHAODEJIXIANG。

                        政策:政策明确转向,经济必将软着陆

                        在线棋牌唯一官方网站ZIJINNIANERJIDUYILAI,GUONEISHERONG、XIAOFEI、JIJIANTOUZIDENGZHUYAOJINGJISHUJUJUNCHENGXIANHUAPO,ZHAIWUWEIYUE、P2PBAOLEIDENGFUMIANYINSUYEYINFALELIUDONGXINGDANYOU。JINQI,YIXILIEGUOWUYUAN、YANGXINGHUIYIJUNCHUANDICHUZHENGCEJIANGFANGSONGDEXINHAO,ER7YUE31RIZHENGZHIJUHUIYIZEQUERENLEZHENGCEDEZHUANXIANG。

                        ZHENGZHIJUHUIYIDUIYUDANGQIANXINGSHIPANDUANSHI“WAIBUHUANJINGMINGXIANBIANHUA”,JIZHONGMEIMAOYIZHANDEYINGXIANGYIBEISHIWEI“ZHUYAOMAODUN”,BINGCHENGWEIZHENGCEDIAOZHENGDEGENYUAN。DANGQIANSHENHUAGONGJICEGAIGEDEZHONGDIANFANGZAILEBUDUANBAN,YAO“JIADAJICHUSHESHILINGYUBUDUANBANLIDU”。ZHENGCEDIAOZHENGDEZHELIDIANZAICAIZHENGZHENGCE,ZHUASHOUJIUSHIGAOJIJIAN、BUDUANBAN。HUOBIZHENGCEYANXUBIANJIFANGSONGDEDAOXIANG。QUGANGGANHAIYAOJIXU,DANZHOUQILAZHANG,DUANQIJIEZOUFANGHUAN,LIDUQURUO。

                        DANGCAIZHENGZHENGCEGENGJIAJIJI,BINGFALI“BUDUANBAN”ZHIHOU,DIFANGZHENGFUZHUANXIANGZHAIQUANDUIYUWENTOUZIDEZUOYONGYUFAMINGXIAN。WANYIZHUANXIANGZHAIQUANJIASURUSHI,JIANGXIANZHULADONGJIJIANTOUZI,XIABANNIANJIJIANTOUZIZHUJIANHUINUANBINGSHIXIANCHUDIFANDANDEKENENGXINGJIAODA。CONGJINGJIZHOUQIDEJIAODUKAN,ZHUGELAZHOUQICHUYUSHANGXINGJIEDUAN,DUIKUCUNZHOUQIDAIDONGDEDUANQIJINGJIXIAXINGYOUZHONGYAODETUODIZUOYONG。ZONGHEFENXI,HONGGUANZHENGCEMINGQUEZHUANXIANG,JINGJIDAGAILVSHIXIANRUANZHELU,CONGERYOUZHUYUSHICHANGYUQIDEGAISHAN。

                        资金:长期资金即将入市

                        4YUEFENZIGUANXINGUIDECHUTAI,JINZHIDUOCENGQIANTAODEYAOQIU,POSHIDALIANGBAOKUOGUPIAOWEIWAIZAINEIDEYINXINGFEIBIAOCHANPINBEIJIASUQINGLI,YINXINGLICAIDUIYINGDEGUPIAOSHICHANGZIJINCHIXUCHUYUJINGMAICHUDEZHUANGTAI,DAOZHIAGUSHICHANGZIJINMIANCHIXUEHUA。ERZUIXINCHUTAIDEZIGUANXINGUIXIZEHELICAIXINGUIZHONGGUANYU“YINXINGGONGMULICAIKEYITOUZIGUPIAO”、“LAOCHANPINKEYIDUIJIEXINZICHAN”,YIWEIZHEYIXIEXINDEWEIWAIZIJINKEYIZHONGXINRUSHI,ERSHISHISHANG,YIXIEYINXINGHEGONGMUJIJINQUESHIZAIZHUNBEIXIANGGUANDEGONGZUO。LINGYIFANGMIAN,14ZHIYANGLAOMUBIAOJIJINFOFYIHUODEPIWEN,HENKUAIJINRUFAXINGJIEDUAN;ZHIYENIANJINZHENZHENGRUSHISHIJIANYEZHUJIANLINJIN,YUJIQIZHONGJINQIANYIKENENGJINRUGUSHI。ERZHEIBUFENZIJINWANGWANGSHISHICHANGZHANGQIZIJINDEZHONGYAOLAIYUAN。9YUE,MSCIJIANGJINRUNARUAGUDEDIERBU,YOUWANGDAILAIYUE165.4YIMEIYUANDEZENGLIANGZIJIN。YUCITONGSHI,FUSHILUOSUJIESHIYEJIANGJUEDINGSHIFOUJIANGZHONGGUONEIDIGUPIAONARUQIQIJIANZHISHU,ZHEIDOUJIANGJINYIBUTIGAOHAIWAIZIJINLIURUAGUDEGUIMO。ZONGTILAIKAN,SUIRANDUANQIZIJINHAIZAIKONGHUANGXINGMAICHU,DANZHANGQIZIJINCANYUSHICHANGDEJIJIXINGZHENGZAIZENGQIANG,YECONGZIJINMIANDEJIAODUWEISHICHANGZOUCHUDIBUXINGCHENGYOULIZHICHENG。

                        估值:已处于底部区域

                        JIEZHI8YUE27RI,SHANGZHENGZONGZHI、SHENCHENGZHI、HUSHEN300HECHUANGYEBANZHIDEPE(TTM)FENBIEWEI12.34、23.54、11.94HE41.97BEI,CHUYU2009NIANZHIJINDE 31%、38%、30%HE7%FENWEI。XIANGJIAOYU2016 HE2017 NIAN,CHUCHUANGYEBANKUAI2018 NIANPE GUZHILVEWEITAITOUZHIWAI,GEZHUYAOZHISHUDEGUZHIDOUZAICHIXUXIAJIANG。JIAODIDEGUZHISHUIPINGHUIGOUZHUSHICHANGDEANQUANBIANJI,ZAIHUZHIJIEJINQIANDI2638YIXIANHOU,WAIZILIURU、YANGLAOJIN、BAOXIANZIJINDENGPEIZHIYIYUANZHENGBUDUANSHANGSHENG,XIAFANGTUODILILIANGHUIBUDUANZENGQIANG,SHICHANGZHANGXIANDEQIANZAIZIJINLIANGJUDA。YOUYUYUEDIDEGUZHIDUIZHANGXIANZIJINXIYINLIYUEQIANG,ZHEIYEQUEDINGLESHICHANGYUEXIANGXIA,QICHENGJIELILIANGYUEQIANGDEGEJU。DIGUZHIFANYINGLEDUIWEILAIDEDIYUQI,ZHIYAOGUZHIDIDAOZUYIFANYINGDADUOSHUKENENGHUIFASHENGDEBULIQINGKUANG,WEILAIDIYUYUQIDEKENENGXINGJIUHENXIAOLE。DANXUYAOMINGQUEDESHI,DIGUZHIJINHUIZENGQIANGSHICHANGDEANQUANBIANJI,TIGAOHUODEDIFENGXIANGAOHUIBAODEGAILV。

                        贸易战:市场对贸易战刺激钝化

                        在线棋牌唯一官方网站ZHONGMEIMAOYIZHANZAI8YUECHUJINYIBUSHENGJI。8YUE1RI,MEITELANGPUNIJIANGDUIHUA2000YIMEIYUANSHANGPINJIAZHENGGUANSHUISHUILVCONG10%SHANGDIAOZHI25%。8YUE3RI,ZHONGFANGHUIYINGJIANGDUIMEI600YIMEIYUANSHANGPINJIAZHENG5%、10%、20%HE25%DEGUANSHUI,SHISHIRIQISHIMEIGUOERDING。SUIRANMAOYIZHANJUSHIDIEDANGQIFUPUSHUOMILI,DANWOMENCONGPANMIANSHANGKEYIKANDAO,DUI2000YIMEIYUANSHANGPINJIAZHENGGUANSHUIDEXIAOXISHIJIDUISHICHANGZOUSHIDEYINGXIANGYUANXUNYUDIYICIDE500YI。SHICHANGQINGXUSHIYOUBIANJIXIAOYINGDE,ZAIPINFANDEMAOYIZHANXIANGGUANXINWENDESHUAPINGZHIXIA,SHICHANGDUIYUMAOYIZHANDELIKONGCIJIYIJINGMINGXIANKAISHIBUMINGANLE,KONGHUANGQINGXUZHUJIANDUNHUA。ERLIHAOBUZHANG,LIKONGBUDIE,JIUSHIDIBUJIANGJINDETEZHENGZHIYI。

                        汇率:央行“保7”态度坚决

                        2018NIAN8YUE24RI19SHI,ZHONGGUOWAIHUIJIAOYIZHONGXINFABUXIAOXICHENG,RENMINBIDUIMEIYUANZHONGJIANJIABAOJIAXINGZHONGQI“NIZHOUQIYINZI”。NIZHOUQIYINZISHIDIAOJIEWAIHUISHICHANGDEGONGJUXIANGZHONGZUIWEIYOUXIAODEYIGE,YOUCIKEJIAN,YANGXINGWEICHIRENMINBIDUIMEIYUANHUILVZAI7YIXIADETAIDUXIANGDANGJIANJUE。NIZHOUQIYINZIZHONGQIZHIHOU,RENMINBIHUILVYOUWANGZAIHELIJUNHENGSHUIPINGSHANGBAOCHIJIBENWENDING,SHICHANGXINXINDEDAOYOUXIAOHUIFU,ZAIWENJINRONGDEDABEIJINGXIAYIXILIEJINRONGSHUJUJIANGCHIXUGAISHAN,SHICHANGZHENGTIYOUQISHIQIANQIYINHUILVDANYOUERCHAODIEDEDIGUZHIXINGYEYEYOUWANGYINGLAIYILUNYIGUZHIXIUFUWEIQUDONGDEXINGQING。

                        三、策略建议

                        根据上述分析,投资者可以利用股指期货在以下两个方面实现交易目标。

                        在线棋牌唯一官方网站1. FUZHUZHANLVEJIANCANG。ZAIWEILAIZHENDANGTANDI、ZHUDIDEGUOCHENGZHONG,RUOTOUZIZHEDUIYUXUANHAODEGUPIAOCAIQUFENPIJIANCANGDEJIHUA,KEZAIXIAOBODUANFANDANHOU,KAOLVLIYONGGUZHIQIHUOSUODINGDUANXIANYINGLI,JIANGDIDICANGCHENGBEN。FANFUGUNDONGCAOZUO,SHIXIANZHANLVEJIANCANGDEMUDE。

                        2. BAWOCHIFANHETANGXINGQING。RUSHANGSUOSHU,SHICHANGZHENGYUNYUYILUNJINNIANJIYOUCANYUJIAZHIDEFANDANXINGQING。KEZAISHOULIKONGCHONGJI,SHICHANGCHUXIANKONGHUANGQINGXUSHI,FENGDIJIANCANGIF、ICHEYUEDUODAN,BOYIJINNIANDECHIFANHETANGXINGQING。

                        在线棋牌唯一官方网站GUANZHUMAOYIZHANZHONGYAOJIEDIAN:9YUE5RI。MEIGUODUI2000YIZHONGGUOSHUMEISHANGPINJIAZHENG25%GUANSHUIDESHUMIANYIJIANZHENGXUNQIJIESHUSHIJIANSHI9YUE5RI。ZHEIGESHIDIANQIANHOUYAOGUANZHUSHICHANGDEBIANHUA。



                        免责声明

                        本报告由恒泰期货研究所制作,未获得恒泰期货股份有限公司的书面授权,任何人和单位不得对本报告进行任何形式的修改、发布和复制。本报告基于本公司期货研究人员采用可信的公开资料和实地调研资料,但本公司对这些信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证,且本报告中的资料、建议、预测均反映报告初次发布时的判断,可能会随时调整,报告中的信息或所表达的意见不构成投资、法律、会计或税务的最终操作建议,本公司不就报告中的内容对最终操作建议作任何担保。在恒泰期货股份有限公司及其研究人员知情的范围内,恒泰期货股份有限公司及其期货研究人员以及财产上的利害关系人与所评价或推荐的产品不存在任何利害关系,同时提醒期货投资者,期市有风险,入市须谨慎。




                            SHENGMING:BENWANGZHANSUOZAIWENZHANG、SHUJUDENGNEIRONGCHUNSHUZUOZHEGERENGUANDIAN,JINGONGTOUZIZHECANKAO,BINGBUGOUCHENGTOUZIJIANYI。TOUZIZHEJUCICAOZUO,FENGXIANZIDAN。

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